Lets see if top rated soccer prediction sites can beat bookies without using kind of Martingale

I am not suggesting paid picks, but free picks, and which is more important, I post them in real time. Those who follow my predictions for the last 5 years, generated good profits (at least 20-50% better profit if they used any of the known onlain sites with high coefficients). Unfortunately, the previous site was blocked by google for spam and therefore I will not continue to advertise this website :). I will continue to use version of the Martingale in my strategy (of course I will use my know how based on statistics) as I believe that this is the only way in the long run to beat the bookmakers.

These are not my predictions but forecasts of some of the most popular sites for betting. Lets see how well are they doing.
I will continue posting picks soon!

							odds			tips
						1	X	2	1X2	goals	score
	International	Champions League grp. A
20:45		Inter	-:-	Twente					1	O	2:1
20:45		Tottenham	-:-	Werder Bremen					1	O	3:0
	International	Champions League grp. B
20:45		Hapoel Tel Aviv	-:-	Benfica					X2	U	0:1
20:45		Schalke 04	-:-	Lyon					X	O	1:1
	International	Champions League grp. C
20:45		Valencia	-:-	Bursaspor					1	U	2:0
20:45		Rangers	-:-	Manchester United					2	U	0:1
	International	Champions League grp. D
20:45		Panathinaikos	-:-	Barcelona					2	U	0:1
18:30		Rubin Kazan	-:-	FC København

Berbatov is among the best transfers in the UK

Bulgarian striker Dimitar Berbatov Manchester United again find a place in the prestigious ranking.

This time it is included among the best transfers in England selected by the prestigious daily newspaper The Independent.

Berbatov falls in the ranking with the transfer from German Bayer Leverkusen to Tottenham for 10.9 million pounds in 2006. Then he looked at all cheap, but for two seasons at Spurs, he won the hearts of fans and triple its price.

Here are some of the other great transfers in England:

Ole Gunnar Solskjær
Since coming to Manchester United from Norwegian Molde for the modest sum of 1.5 million pounds in 1996, Solskjær scored just six minutes after his debut for the Reds.

His victory goal in the final minute of the Champions League final in 1999 even won him the nickname "killer with a baby face and always love the fans.

Alan Shearer
Legendary Englishman arrived at Blackburn Rovers team from Southampton in 1992 against a huge time cost of 3.6 million pounds. With 112 hits in 138 games, Shearer helped Rovers win the title in the Premier League before being sold to Newcastle for 11 million pounds in 1996.

Eric Cantona
Manchester United had not won the Premiership title in 26 years, while at Old Trafford Eric Cantona did not come to end the long wait. It came from the team of Leeds in 1992 for 1.2 million pounds and inspire the team Sir Alex Ferguson for a series of trophies, which is not yet complete.

Paolo Di Canio
The Italian moved from Sheffield Wednesday to West Ham United in 1999 against a really modest 1.75 million pounds. Scoring great goals, pushing referees, describing as a fascist (but in no way racist) Paolo Di Canio has become a hero for the Hammers.

Cristiano Ronaldo
The boy - a miracle came to Manchester United from Sporting Lisbon in 2003 after six seasons of superb performance, a huge number of goals and breathtaking plays, became the most expensive player on the planet.

Dennis Bergkamp
After being almost forgotten in the Inter Arsene Wenger has managed to revive the career of Bergkamp after his arrival at Arsenal in 1995 (about 7.5 million pounds). Dutch footballer left a lasting mark on the London club and then in his most glorious years.

Thierry Henry
Shot in the top ten for Arsene Wenger was the attraction of French international Thierry Henry in 1999 by the Italian Juventus for 10.5 million pounds.

Years marked the striker goal after goal in the opponent's door and became, according to some experts, the best player Arsenal have ever had. To this day, Henry has the status of deity among the fans at the Emirates Stadium.

Who else is included in the list of "Independent", you can see the official website of the publication.

Stoichkov to Ronaldo:''All''Camp Nou will curse your mother

Bulgarian legend Hristo Stoichkov has warned Barcelona star blood enemy Real Madrid Cristiano Ronaldo to prepare for a major match at Camp Nou. He considers all the stadium spectators will swear Portuguese footballer.

"Cristiano knows that his mother and his father will bring very serious offense in this game. But that's part of football and I think Ronaldo is accustomed to such things and ignores" Stoichkov said in an interview with newspaper Marca .

He made a comparison between the Portuguese and the big star of Barcelona Lionel Messi. Bulgarians believe that Argentina is still a better player either.

"Messi is a team player either, not selfish, not so much individualism. But can not help but admit that Cristiano played well and the entire team of Real Madrid," said Stoichkov.

He believes that Barcelona is the favorite for victory in this match, but still boast Real Madrid, which is not very common.

"Under the leadership of Jose Mourinho Real is a completely different team. He knows what he wants on the pitch, play a more compact and has really quality players. But all in Barca know what is required of them working together were excellent and so are the favorites," added Stoichkov.

Mourinho asks Sir Alex not to retire

Coach of Real Madrid manager Jose Mourinho pleads Manchester United boss Sir Alex Ferguson to hold its promise and does not end his career a few years, writes the Daily Mail.

Coach of Manchester United said this week he did not intend soon to give up his coaching job, although his 69 th birthday is approaching.

Mourinho has always enjoyed the match against Sir Alex when he was head of Porto, Chelsea and Inter Milan and wants to live a few more such battles.

After joining Fergie Hall of Fame of the Association of Managers of Premier League Portuguese specialist said: "I hope that will remain for several more years to be able to stand against him several times.

I think when I was in 50-60 years will still am in the profession with the same ambitions and desires.

"I understand why he wants to pursue. It was the same with Bobby Robson. I can see for themselves the same future as became his age," says Special.

Mourinho was the special guest at the dinner of the Association of Managers of Premier League and was pleased to accede to such names as Sir Matt Busby, Bob Paisley and Arsene Wenger.

"I'm very proud because I'm not British and spent only three years in the Premiership, which is not enough time to leave a lasting trace in history.

The time I spent here is the best thing in my career so far, despite the fact that winning the Champions League with teams from Portugal and Italy, "said Mourinho.

Bookmakers put Ancelotti at the penalty

British bookmakers have reduced dramatically from 10:1 to 6:4 rate that Chelsea manager Carlo Ancelotti will be fired next English Premier Football League.

Blues in London registered the third loss in their last four league meetings and this further strengthened speculation that the Italian specialist will walk away from Stamford Bridge.

As yet no official comments or statements on the subject. But surely the bookies feel most accurately the situation in such moments. It remains only to see how things will develop.

Inter fails while Parma stopped Lazio

Champion Inter continues with its tentative perfomances in Serie A under the leadership of Rafael Benitez. "Blue-black "lost in Kiev with the visit of 1:2 in a meeting of 13 th round and has four straight no victory in the Calcio.

Sergio Pelisier put Chievo in the results in 29 minutes, but in 82 th David Moskardeli made 2:0 for the hosts.

Inter-duty scorer Samuel Eto'o returned one match in the last minute, but something more than an honorary loss was already late.

Inter slipped to 6 th place in the standings with 20 points, 9 fewer than leader and city rival AC Milan.

By Giampaolo Pazzini hat-trick of wins Lecce Sampdoria 3:2. Pazzini gave an advance of two goals for the visitors to break, but Lecce equalized through David Di Michele and Suleiman Diamuten. Two minutes remaining Pazzini was accurate again and brought three points for Sampdoria, which the team pulled a safe distance from the relegation zone.

Lecce game with someone less than 37 minutes when the red card received Ernesto Shevanton.

Parma also took a breath after a 1:1 draw against Lazio leader until recently. With the winning point "parmalats"occupy 14 th place with 15 points.
Valeri Bojinov began as a starter and played for Parma to 58 minutes, when the retreat place of Marquez.

Veteran Hernan Crespo scored for "parmalats" in 23 minutes, while Sergio Flokari restore equality in stoppage time of the first half.

In other matches from rounds Palermo and Cagliari achieve victory with 2:1 respectively against Cesena and Brescia, and Catania beat minimum 1:0 at home Barry.

East Germany beat West Germany in a derby

East Germany won 2:1 with its neighbors and world champions West Germany in an exhibition soccer match that was postponed by 20 years.

Because of the age of the players match in Leipzig last 80 instead of 90 minutes. Members of West Germany was the coach of the Bulgarian national team, Lothar Matthaus, who captained the world champions for 1990.

Karlheinz Ridley opened the scoring in favor of the West, but East made a turnaround with hits Olaf Marshall and Ulf Kirsten.

"All we wanted to have fun. All we ambitious, although our feet we do not hear much," said humorous t star of West Germany - Juergen Klinsmann.

The friendly match between East and West Germany had to play through November 1990, one month after the unification of West Germany and East Germany. The meeting was then postponed because of the death of a soccer fan in the eastern part of Germany because of the threat of violence.

Nine of 22 players, world champions in 1990 were members of the West, led by coach Berti Vogts.

East was head of Edward Geier, coach led East Germany in the final game of that country before unification with West Germany in September 1990. Then East Germany defeated Belgium 2:0.

Betting research and analysis: how to do it

To be a long term winner, you take to know the basics of handicapping. Here are a few mere strategies to approach soccer betting research.

Home and Away Records
The first thing you ought look at is how well a team plays at home or away. Some teams are horribly bad on the road, but good at home. Some top teams never lose at home, but often draw away. Look for patterns; they often repeat themselves.

Recent Form
Check the results of both teams from their last 6 matches. A lot teams are streaky: they win a bunch of games, then have a string of losses. This is one area where you will be able to be a step ahead of the bookie, because he inclines to center the league table positioning more than recent form.

Team News
This is all important. Is a key player missing? Is the coach resting his regular starters? Has a influenza virus infected the whole squad? Occasionally a team will field a entirely second-string group of players, but the bookies will be slow to adjust their odds. This is a great way to make use of bookies who do not do their preparation.

Head-to-Heads
Compare past match-ups between 2 teams. Does one team incline to win more often? Does the game often finish in a draw? Search situations where one team has a 80% or higher winning record against the other club. That's a profitable bet in the long term.

Motivation
Some teams come into a game highly motivated, desperate for a win. Others are distracted for various reasons, such as an important upcoming game. Try and judge each team's motivation. Just beware of reading too much into this. A team in a "must-win" situation will fail to win more often than you think.

Upcoming Fixtures
Scheduling is important. Some teams are involved in European and national cup competitions on top of their home leagues, so they are forced to juggle several matches in their schedule. This often forces a team to make sacrifices, because it's impossible to play with 100% effort if you have a game every 2 or 3 days. Find out what games matter most in the schedule and adapt your wagering accordingly.

Coming to grips with the betting odds?

The big game is about to begin, you have done your research and backed the home team at 7/4; you grab a beer and take it easy waiting for the beginning. While you wait, do you ever question exactly what those betting odds mean?

If not, maybe you should, it can throw a lot of interesting light on what your chances of winning the bet actually are. In the case above they're saying that should this same match be played eleven times then the home team will win four times and not win seven times. A different way of looking at it is thru probability, which tells us that the home team has a 36% probability of winning and a 64% chance of not winning.

Betting odds and probability are often confused by novice and inexperienced punters, and most appear to believe they're the same thing. They're not, they are tight related, but they're different.

Probability is a real number between 0 and 1, where 0 represents 0%, that is, there's no chance of the event happening, and 1 represents 100%, that is, the event will happen, nothing can stop it. Betting odds, on the other hand are used to express the ratio of the probability of the event happening against the probability of it not happening. It sounds a bit boring put like that, but let's look at a simple example to make it clearer.

Assuming an honest coin, when flipping that coin the probability of it coming up heads or tails is exactly 50% as these are the only 2 outcomes possible. It means we have a 1 in 2 chance of getting the result we want. Expressing this in Odds we would get 1/1 or even money.

To roll a six on a six-sided die, assuming the die is honest, gives us a probability of 16.66%. This is since the die has six sides and 100 divided by six equals 16.66. Put differently we have a 1 in 6 chance of rolling the number we want. Expressed as odds this is 5/1.

So how do we calculate the probability when we only have the odds?

Well it depends in what format your odds are written. The two most widely applied means of expressing odds are fractional and decimal. Fractional odds have been around in the United Kingdom since betting started, while decimal is the method used by most European countries, though it's acquiring in popularity in the UK since the introduction of betting exchanges and most internet bookies now offer the choice. Given the choice, decimal is now my favored option, it's much easier to work with.

When converting fractional odds to probability we need to divide the right hand side of the fraction by the sum of the left and right hand sides and multiply the answer by 100. When written like that it looks complicated, but it really isn't. Let's do an example:

Odds of 7/4 converted to probability.
7/4 becomes 4/(7+4) which is 4/11 = .3636
Multiply by 100 and the answer is 36.36 so our probability is 36.36%
A couple more examples:

5/4 = 4/(5+4) = 4/9 = .4444 = 44.44%

4/1 = 1/(1+4) = 1/5 = .20 = 20%

When converting decimal odds to probability things get really simple, all we have to do is divide 100 by the decimal odds.

So faced with decimal odds of 5.0 we simply divide 100 by 5 as follows:

100/5 = 20 so the probability is 20%

A couple of more examples of decimals to probability:

1.25 = 100/1.25 = 80%
1.90 = 100/1.90 = 52.63%

Not only is it easier to see what chance the bet has as a percentage, but it as well gives us the ability to see exactly how much of a profit the bookmaker is really making. To do this we need to convert all the odds on an event into percentages and then add them together. Any sum over 100% is the profit that the bookmaker is making on that event.

Taking match betting odds on a football match as an example, there are 3 potential results home win, away win or draw. Assuming the game is priced as follows:

Home win = 1.75 (57.14%)
Away win = 3.9 (25.64%)
Draw = 3.5 (28.57%)

Logically the final result of an event can only be 100%, but we can see here that by adding up the probabilities (in brackets) we in reality arrive at a total of 111.35% this extra 11.35% is called the overround, it's the profit that the bookie is anticipating to make on this result and is generated by offering worse odds on the event than the factual true odds.

Footballer acknowledged how arrange matches in Bulgaria

Gambler Anonymous claims that CSKA had to win the battle terminated in the spring against Lokomotiv Mezdra
Footballer of the Bulgarian Cup revealed what schemes match-fixing.

"Settlement schemes are few. One is the quid pro quo. The presidents of clubs means that one of this season he needed three points from the other. On the day of the match the coach or president of the club down to the players and say: "Guys, today we must help these people, but you'll get bonuses like to win. They will return the favor next year.

Another scheme is valid for the A group. It does not participate as teams Levski and CSKA big teams that are constantly in focus. There are clubs in the second half of the table, which are supported entirely by lottery. In her president enters the dressing room and said: "Guys, now have to fall by four goals. And the players go play, but tend to fall with four goals, "said the footballer, who was in the morning of BTV.

"Another scheme is where a club president calls directly to the player from the opposing team. Usually call the best players - goalkeeper, captain, the best midfielder and best striker. Touch with such a man offer his is a sum of money. For example, 10, 20, 30 000, depending on how important the match and at what stage is the league. He must arrange other strengths to the club to play for a loss. Then divide the money.

Sometimes the younger players is said to have one entry, a yellow card to get a bit like a game. Because otherwise it is absolute pornography. Over the years, you know what people have been presidents of football clubs. There have been cases when the president enters the dressing room to rest and called: 'Hay, dudes, you do what it was? You know you think this game should it lose by 4-5 goals. You will brake the legs after the match, "added the anonymous player.

"There was one such case, now I remember. The boy says Todor Radomirov, played in Spartak (Varna). The match was Spartak - Belasitsa, everyone knows that to end 2:2. It comes off the bench and said:" As no * your mother and you do 3:2 in 89 minutes. "In the locker room were it was, their benefactor, if memory serves me, Zhivko Velikov - war, nobody wants it then another team. A this boy the same year took the prize "Fairplay." Why is taking? Because scored in the match set. Since I know him personally, the time at which you received the award, the footballer, who is rewarded, a legend of Bulgarian football, he said with derision : "Because you lost € 20,000 from this match."

I will tell you otherwise: "Our game of the Cup of Bulgaria was in lottery. Not four months we took money, we also feed a family, we want to go out with nice clothes. We were in the locker room, he told himself: "Guys, give to spend some bucks." Toto corrupt football in Bulgaria, but have to complete retard to not do it, "he told his players.

The studio was also the man who presented a bookmaker. His face remained hidden, but her voice was forged. He said the canceled game between Lokomotiv (Mezdra) and CSKA in the spring, which is believed to have been set to win the Reds.

"Black toto is very difficult to prove. For this match in Mezdra basic version is that it agrees to end with victory for CSKA. I have another theory of my impressions. Before the meeting there are certain factors and is normally in the course of the game change. Odds to win the CSKA is 1.40, and during the match after failing to score points, it should be lifted. In this match I watched Asian markets, which depend on the odds - they kept the level of coefficients. Quite normal in 60 minutes when the result is 0:0, the coefficient for CSKA is not 1.40 and 2.00. The odds, however, remained the same, indicating a very large stakes in Asian sportsbooks known that they have no limits on stakes. All are expected to battle for victory out of CSKA. Lokomotiv (Mezdra), however, scoring a goal, CSKA not see how it will turn the outcome, fans stormed the battle and was canceled. This means that all sportsbooks bets are void and the money returned, "said the bookmaker.

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