Friday, November 5, 2010

Successful Soccer Betting Strategies

Bet on a team not to lose.

A good type of wager is where your team does not even have to win for you to make profit. It's called Double Chance, because you back two results: a win and a draw. If you can identify a situation where one team is remote to lose, this kind of bet could be attractive to you. But keep in mind the odds will be lower than merely backing a team to win.

There are a several situations where this could be a of value bet, but one of the basic is when one team is playing for a draw. Try and precise a game where one team's aim is just not to lose. A club employing such a negative strategy will very seldom win. Even whenever they bring home the bacon in drawing the match, your Double Chance bet against them is a winner.

Another time this bet comes is handy is when a team is missing their key striker who scores most of their goals. Some clubs rely on a single player up front, and when he's injured they become useless at scoring goals. Quite frequently the betting odds will not adjust far adequate to reflect this. So you are able to bet against those teams and be somewhat confident the best they can do is draw.

There are other types of bets which are equivalent to Double Chance. The half ball Asian Handicap (+0.5 or +1/2) lets you combine a win bet and a draw. Similarly, laying a team to lose on a betting exchange like Betfair has the same effect.

Back teams that know how to score goals.

If you are gambling hard-earned cash on a bet, at the least back a team you can count on to score. Try and avoid encounters between mediocre teams who sit in the middle of the league table. Frequently these matches are most unpredictable: a home win, away win and draw are all possible results.

An alternative is to look for powerful, high scoring teams that have no trouble finding the back of the net. These are often the elite clubs of a league: Bayern Munich, AC Milan, Barcelona etc. But this is what most amateur punters do, so the bookies will almost always offer poor odds on the best teams.

A better strategy is to bet against extremely weak teams. Every conference has one or two hopeless sides who lose every weekend. These bottom-dwellers are occasionally given too much credit by the bookmakers. Look for a situation where a decent or even below average club is playing at home against a awfully bad away team (one of those clubs that's 0-1-9 on the road for example). The bookie will often set the odds on the home side slightly below even money, say at 1.75 when it should really be much lower, like 1.50. Similarly the Asian Handicap will be -3/4 ball when it should be at least -1. If you can identify the whipping boys of a league, this is precisely the sort of situation where it is profitable to bet against them.

Believe it or not, luck can play a role in that type of strategy. Talented teams make their own luck and find a way to win (how many times have we seen Juventus or Chelsea sneak a 90th minute goal and win 1-0?). On the flip side, weak teams are often unfortunate and the bounces just seem to go against them.

Look for strange home and away form

Playing on home turf is a big advantage in most football leagues. Support from the thousands of screaming fans gives a boost to the home club and restrains the visitors. Teams perceptibly struggle in away games, and even top clubs can not copy their home form. Naturally, the bookies know this as well as anyone, which is why the odds are shorter on a team playing in their own stadium.

But there are exceptions to the rule, and these can be very profitable if you find them.

Some teams will not fit the pattern and will in reality play better away from home.

Here are a few examples from the 2005/2006 season in England, Italy and Spain:

Wigan home: 7 wins, 3 draws, 9 losses
Wigan away: 8 wins, 3 draws, 8 losses

Treviso home: 1 win, 4 draws, 13 losses
Treviso away: 1 win, 8 draws, 10 losses

Deportivo home: 6 wins, 5 draws, 8 losses
Deportivo away: 9 wins, 5 draws, 4 losses

As you can see, Wigan, Deportivo and Treviso all had better records on the road. There are different explanations for this. Occasionally a team feels too much pressure from its home fans. Other teams acquire different playing styles and tactics in away games, which are often more successful than their game strategy at home.

But how does this affect your betting? Even though we have spotted this strange pattern, the bookmakers will go forward to make their odds accepting these teams have a bigger home advantage than they actually do. That creates value betting opportunities, because the odds on Wigan, Deportivo and Treviso will be bigger than they should be in away games. Likewise, it's worth betting against these teams when they play at home, for the bookies are factoring in home advantage where there's none.

Bet on the draw

Many punters have a hard time predicting draws, so it's not surprising the draw isn't the most popular type of bet out there. It's much more fun settling for a win anyway. So why bet on a stalemate? Because it pays well! Draws should not be the commonest outcome you pick, but there are times when it makes sense to back them. Try and find a match where both teams will have a bad time breaking each other down. One way of doing this is seeking matches between an in-form mid-table side playing at home against a top-table away side. E.g., match-ups from the 2005-2006 season that fit this profile might be Bolton vs. Liverpool, Lazio vs. Juventus, or Villarreal vs. Real Madrid. The visiting team has the quality to escape the game without losing, but they as well have trouble scoring against an in-form home side. Both teams in that situation are happy to settle for a draw, and that's rather frequently the result. Another fast and easy way to identify potential draws is to study the Asian Handicap odds. Look for games where the handicap is set to (0) or level ball. This means both teams are relatively equally matched and the bookies don't want to offer a head start to either team. Games like this tend to draw more frequently than you might believe.

Thursday, November 4, 2010

Soccer picks for 4.11.2010, Thursday

IMPORTANT NOTES FOR MY SOCCER BETTING PICKS THAT I PUBLISH ALMOST EVERY DAY!

In soccer betting also apply the basic rules of gambling: do not bet more than you can afford to lose and do not perceive them as a way of making money, despite several successful years in football bets publish every day. It is important to know that should be on all of my featured soccer games, and if late and is still possible to bet live. Coefficients for the soccer picks are taken from the Bulgarian bookmaker "Eurofootball" and are among the lowest which means that if you bet in popular internet bookies the profit from my free soccer betting picks profit would be 20-30% higher.
If people that can not follow betting scheme 10-20-40-80 etc. may do so in the sequence 1-2-4-8, etc. or example, 5-10-20-40, etc. Profits will be lower, but still it is better to earn less than nothing.
Doubling the stakes is the surest way to not only return your money back, but to win. Of particular importance, however, are some details in the statistics that will afford not to publish because they are my know-how.

Handicap:

Rosenborg - Atletico Madrid
1-0 (handicap)
X
3,40 (coefficient)
80 (money to bet)

Gent - Sporting Lisbon
1-0
2
4,10
80

Brugge - Dinamo Zagreb
0-1
X
3,40
20

Lausanne - Sparta Prague
1-0
2
3,55
10

AEK - Anderlecht
1-0
X
3,40
10

PSG - Dortmund
0-1
1
4,30
250

Total bet 450

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Wednesday, November 3, 2010

Soccer picks for 03.11.2010, Wednesday

Handicap:

Basel - Roma
0-1 (handicap)
X
3,40 (coefficient)
40 (money to bet)

Auxerre - Ajax
0-1
1
4,30
40

Partizan - Braga
0-1
X
3,40
10

Shakhtar - Arsenal
0-1
X
3,40
150

Botafogo - Atletico GO
0-1
X
3,40
40

Depp. Tolima - Independiente
0-1
1

4,00
20

Total bet 300

Soccer picks for 02.11.2010, Tuesday

Handicap:

Tottenham - Inter
1-0 (handicap)
X
3,40(coefficicent)
20 (money to bet)

Hapoel TA - Schalke 04
1-0
2
4,00
20

Benfica - Lyon
0-1
X
3,40
10

Hartlepool - Notts
0-1
X
3,40
100

Brighton - Exeter
0-1
X
3,40
40

Gelway - Bray Wanderers
0-1
1
4,55
10

Wellington - Brisbane
0-1
X
3,25
150

Sheffield W. - Huddersfield
0-1
1
4,30
200

Swindon Town - Charlton
0-1
1
4,30
80

Walsall - Peterborough
1-0
2
4,25
40

Crewe - Shrewsbury
0-1
1
4,30
150

Total bet 820

Monday, November 1, 2010

Cassano offered to reduce his salary by half

Sampdoria striker Antonio Cassano suggested his salary be halved as a gesture of apology to the club, Italian media reported.

According to "La Stampa" 28-year-old wants to make up the team of President Ricardo Garonne, after the latter asked Contracts of Cassano to be terminated because of conflict between the two.

Cassano did not attend the gathering of the club, with the excuse that his wife Caroline is pregnant and wants to spend as much time with her.

But he is willing to suffer a serious reduction in salary, to show that he wants to stay at Sampdoria.

"I would like to stay here forever. I like the president. Now he apologized," said Cassano, quoted by "La Stampa".

Soccer picks for 1.11.2010, Monday

IMPORTANT NOTES FOR MY SOCCER BETTING PICKS THAT I PUBLISH ALMOST EVERY DAY!

In soccer betting also apply the basic rules of gambling: do not bet more than you can afford to lose and do not perceive them as a way of making money, despite several successful years in football bets publish every day. It is important to know that should be on all of my featured soccer games, and if late and is still possible to bet live. Coefficients for the soccer picks are taken from the Bulgarian bookmaker "Eurofootball" and are among the lowest which means that if you bet in popular internet bookies the profit from my free soccer betting picks profit would be 20-30% higher.
If people that can not follow betting scheme 10-20-40-80 etc. may do so in the sequence 1-2-4-8, etc. or example, 5-10-20-40, etc. Profits will be lower, but still it is better to earn less than nothing.
Doubling the stakes is the surest way to not only return your money back, but to win. Of particular importance, however, are some details in the statistics that will afford not to publish because they are my know-how.

Handicap:

Nordseland - Odense
0-1 (handicap)
X
3,40 (coefficient)
10 (money to bet)

Düsseldorf - Duisburg
1-0
2
4,25
10

Blackpool - West Bromwich
1-0
X
3,40
80

Gimaraish - Portimonense
0-1
X
3,40
20

Total bet 120

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Sunday, October 31, 2010

Ferguson: Rooney will be back when I say

Manchester United manager Sir Alex Ferguson last night completely restore its control over the battle with striker Wayne Rooney, refusing to show activity in January transfer window, writes the Daily Mail.

Furthermore, the Scottish specialist warned its star that he might not return to the starting line-up of the "Red Devils" by December.

After helping 25-year-old striker to become the most expensive footballer in the history of the club, Ferguson was quick to make sure that English football is aware that his treatment will not be any different than any other player on the team.

Ignoring Rooney requested by prospective new signings, Ferguson insisted that United's transfer policy has not changed since the striker signed a new five-year contract.

Furthermore, the manager gave clear that Rooney, who view the victory over Tottenham in the stands at Old Trafford yesterday, will return to its composition, when he decides.

Form of Dimitar Berbatov and Javier Hernandez is excellent at present and this enables Scot leaving Rooney to fully recover from his injury in his ankle before returning it to the ground.

"We definitely will not buy new players in January," Ferguson cut and ignored the concerns of Wayne Rooney on the strength of the team.

"We will stay another five months to the end of the season and we will take a new player in February, when Valencia will return, and maybe another in the face of Owen Hargreaves. With the team that I see no reason to buy someone" said Sir Alex.

"There's always money to spend, but that does not necessarily mean that this summer will show greater activity in the transfer market than usual.'ll Buy only what we know, and we know what we need," said he .

Scottish specialist announced that Rooney has no way to return to the pitch for the town derby with Manchester City on 10 th November.

"It may take five weeks before he returns, because we need to fully recover and regain form.

There is no chance he is ready for the match against Manchester City on 10 th November. Everyone wants a player who was sidelined for several weeks to be ready 100 percent, not to fail, "said United manager.

Soccer picks for 31.10.2010, Sunday

IMPORTANT NOTES FOR MY SOCCER BETTING PICKS THAT I PUBLISH ALMOST EVERY DAY!

In soccer betting also apply the basic rules of gambling: do not bet more than you can afford to lose and do not perceive them as a way of making money, despite several successful years in football bets publish every day. It is important to know that should be on all of my featured soccer games, and if late and is still possible to bet live. Coefficients for the soccer picks are taken from the Bulgarian bookmaker "Eurofootball" and are among the lowest which means that if you bet in popular internet bookies the profit from my free soccer betting picks profit would be 20-30% higher.
If people that can not follow betting scheme 10-20-40-80 etc. may do so in the sequence 1-2-4-8, etc. or example, 5-10-20-40, etc. Profits will be lower, but still it is better to earn less than nothing.
Doubling the stakes is the surest way to not only return your money back, but to win. Of particular importance, however, are some details in the statistics that will afford not to publish because they are my know-how.


Handicap:

Cottbus - Bochum
0-1 (handicap)
X
3,40 (coefficient)
10 (money to bet)

Newcastle - Sunderland
0-1
X
3,40
20

Bari - Udinese
0-1
X
3,25
20

Total bet 50

Handicap:

Esbjerg - Brondby
0-1
1
4,25
100

Atletico M. - Almeria
0-1
X
3,50
10

Montpellier - PSG
0-1
X
3,25
40

Total bet 150


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Saturday, October 30, 2010

Ronaldinho is back in the national

The new coach of Brazil Mano Menezesh called Ronaldinho in composition of team friendly against Argentina, which will be played next month, reports website footballitaliano.co.uk.

The match, which will take place in Qatar, will be having a great comeback for Ronnie, who was overlooked by previous coach Carlos Dunga and missed the World Cup this year.

His best performances with his club team AC Milan, however, were rewarded by Menezesh and now Brazilian star will save your game number 88 for the representative team of Brazil.

His teammates to AC Milan Alexandre Pato, Robinho and Thiago Silva are also called by seektsionera. 18-year-old Inter Philippe Koutinyo also received call-up to national team camp.

By contrast, in the Brazilian team will not go and Lucio Julio Cesar from Inter and Felipe Melo on the composition of Juventus and Lazio from Hernandez.

Soccer picks for 30.10.2010, Saturday


IMPORTANT NOTES FOR MY SOCCER BETTING PICKS THAT I PUBLISH ALMOST EVERY DAY!

In soccer betting also apply the basic rules of gambling: do not bet more than you can afford to lose and do not perceive them as a way of making money, despite several successful years in football bets publish every day. It is important to know that should be on all of my featured soccer games, and if late and is still possible to bet live. Coefficients for the soccer picks are taken from the Bulgarian bookmaker "Eurofootball" and are among the lowest which means that if you bet in popular internet bookies the profit from my free soccer betting picks profit would be 20-30% higher.
If people that can not follow betting scheme 10-20-40-80 etc. may do so in the sequence 1-2-4-8, etc. or example, 5-10-20-40, etc. Profits will be lower, but still it is better to earn less than nothing.
Doubling the stakes is the surest way to not only return your money back, but to win. Of particular importance, however, are some details in the statistics that will afford not to publish because they are my know-how.

Handicap:

Wolfsburg - Stuttgart
0-1 (handicap)
1
3,70 (coefficient)
10 (money to bet)

S. Pauli - Frankfurt
0-1
X
3,40
10

Cologne - Hamburg
1-0
X
3,40
10

Blackburn - Chelsea
1-0
X
3,50
80

Everton - Stoke C..
0-1
X
3,45
10

Darby C. - Watford
0-1
1
4,10
20

Portsmouth - Nottingham
0-1
1
4,00
150

Scunthorpe - Leeds
0-1
1
4,30
40

Bristol R. - Carlisle
0-1
1
4,15
20

Daagenam - Carlisle
0-1
1
4,15
20

Layton - Rochdale
0-1
1
4,15
80

Total bet 450


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The choice of the two hosts is dangerous according to Blatter

Russia will present the last in early December its candidature to host the World Cup 2018. This was decided at today's meeting of the Executive Committee of Fifa.

On December 2, FIFA (FIFA.com) will determine the hosts of World Cup 2018 and World Cup 2022. For the first time ever in a single day will determine the hosts of two consecutive World Cup football.

Federation president Sepp Blatter said he was not sure whether it was the correct decision to choose two co-hosted World Cup soccer.

"I assume their responsibility, but I'm not sure this was the right decision," said Blatter.

On December 1, will present their candidature to host Mondial'2022 - Qatar, Australia, USA, Japan and South Korea, and the second - Spain and Portugal, Belgium and Holland and England and Russia.

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Del Piero: I'll Stay in Juve or go abroad

Juventus legend Alessandro Del Piero said he would sign a new contract with the Bianconeri in the summer or play around abroad, since you can not put the team on another Italian team.

35-year-old Del Piero, who is the symbol of Juventus and the team's leading scorer of all time, has a contract with Juventus, which ended after eight months.

"Sure, I dream of scoring the new stadium of Juventus. The decision to renew my contract will be decided between me and the team. Things are not sure, but I want to keep playing - at Juventus or chuzhina as I can not wear a shirt of another team from Italy. I had some tough times here but I've always been happy at Juventus and I am proud of everything I've done with the team of this club, "said Del Piero to the Gazzetta dello Sport.

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UEFA decided: Italy won against Serbia

European football body UEFA awarded official victory of Italy with 3:0 over the team of Serbia because of interrupted qualifying match for Euro 2012 between the two teams earlier this month.

The news was officially confirmed on the site of UEFA. Furthermore, "near" are punished to play their next two games without audience.

Realistically, however, the Serbs will only play their next match without fans in the stands as the second is a contingent punishment and will enter into force if the next two years Serbia is again involved in an accident.

Furthermore, the football federation of Serbia and was fined an amount of 120,000 euros for everything that happened on October 12 in Genoa.

Recalled that the then Serbian ultras hurled bombs on the ground and the battle was ended only seven minutes after its start.

Problems continued outside the stadium Luigi Feraris, where fans of Serbia and Albanian flags gorilla came to clashes with the police.

Italian FA also not escaped unscathed. "Skuadra Azzurri is a conditional sentence of one game in the stands empty for a period of two years and will have to pay a fine of 100,000 euros.

Both national federations have the right, if they decide to appeal the sanctions imposed on them in the next three days.

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Friday, October 29, 2010

Soccer picks for 29.10.2010, Friday

IMPORTANT NOTES FOR MY SOCCER BETTING PICKS THAT I PUBLISH ALMOST EVERY DAY!

In soccer betting also apply the basic rules of gambling: do not bet more than you can afford to lose and do not perceive them as a way of making money, despite several successful years in football bets publish every day. It is important to know that should be on all of my featured soccer games, and if late and is still possible to bet live. Coefficients for the soccer picks are taken from the Bulgarian bookmaker "Eurofootball" and are among the lowest which means that if you bet in popular internet bookies the profit from my free soccer betting picks profit would be 20-30% higher.
If people that can not follow betting scheme 10-20-40-80 etc. may do so in the sequence 1-2-4-8, etc. or example, 5-10-20-40, etc. Profits will be lower, but still it is better to earn less than nothing.
Doubling the stakes is the surest way to not only return your money back, but to win. Of particular importance, however, are some details in the statistics that will afford not to publish because they are my know-how.

Handicap:

Arminia - UNION
0-1 (handicap)
X
3,40 (coefficient)
10 (money to bet)

Frankfurt - Paderborn
0-1
1
3,55
200

Total bet 210

Handicap:

Dijon - Nantes
0-1
X
3,25
20

Angers - Troyes
0-1
1
4,55
10

Emmen - Rozendaal
0-1
1
4,15
10

Maastricht - Apeldoorn
0-1
1
4,00
100

Charleroi - Kortrjk
1-0
2
4,25
20

Total bet 160


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Soccer picks for 29.10.2010, Thursday

Handicap:

Astra Ploiesti - Rapid Bucharest
1-0 (handicap)
2
4,20 (coefficient)
200 (money to bet)

Alcorcon - Atl. Bilbao
1-0
X
3,25
40

Atletico IT - Ceara
0-1
X
3,40
10

Total bet 250

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Thursday, October 28, 2010

The English soccer clubs won the most money

Clubs of English football's elite receive most revenue from sponsorship of their shirts in the six top leagues in Europe, dpa reported, citing a study by the consultancy company "Sport Markt".

20 teams from the Premier League earn a total of 128 million euros this season, which is 44.5 million euros more than last campaign.

German clubs did receive a total of 118.5 million euros, which increased by 9.9 million compared to last season.

Thirdly are the teams of Serie A with 65.9 million euros, to the elite clubs of France (58.7 million), Spain (57.5) and Holland (42).

Manchester United and Liverpool are the teams who take most of the season - at 23.6 million euros respectively by financial giants AON and Standard Chartered Bank.
Real Madrid gets 23 million from the company bookmaker Bwin, and Bayern Munich is fourth with 22 million of German telecommunications company Deutsche Telekom.

Bundesliga clubs remain on top in revenue per team of 6.6 million euros. Premier League was second with an average of 6.4 million club.

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