Monday, October 25, 2010

Soccer Betting

Shop around, equate odds at different bookies!

Pro punters commit many hours per week browsing for the best betting odds, and will often spend a lot of time in this enterprise than handicapping. Applied that the pros are betting high limits each week, it's time well spent even if it adds only 1% to their bottom line. But how can the ordinary wagerer making $100 bets get the best price without turning betting odds looking into a full-time job?

Preparation is half the combat, so before beginning to handicap, have your money set. Ideally, you will take reward of reduced price bookmakers which offer better value than other net sportsbooks. Plus you should also have one or two "recreational bookmakers", which use inflated lines on the favorites.

It's also a fine idea to keep a enough sum of cash liquid in a NETeller account, where it can be put in play promptly. Most sports bookmakers directly credit accounts with NETeller deposits. Even limiting betting odds comparison to only 10 minutes every week, this minimal amount of preparation still adds 1% to your expected return.

Another tactic bettors can use to ever have the best odds doesn't involve whatever additional effort, but instead accents the significance of timing. Instead of handicapping during mid-week or Friday for weekend games, gamblers should start analyzing next week's games right away after the current weeks' matches have finished. Reviewing English football games Saturday night or Sunday morning and Italian league games on Sunday evening, gives punters one more money-making opportunity - betting into overnight lines.

Some sportsbooks will post overnight lines on all major sports. Soccer odds usually go up Sunday night, but can be volatile when the lines are first posted. These odds don't have to be very sharp since early betting quickly tightens prices against lower limits.

A popular anecdote among some linesmakers is that the first few bets taken on any overnight line are always sharp bets. These bets are made by smaller punters who have already analysed the matches and don't mind the lower betting limits. The early bettors are usually long-term winners, and are amid the few that actually get the best betting odds all time. But it's worth giving up this edge to the early sharps because they provide an invaluable service by sharpening the odds, allowing bookmakers to raise limits to significant levels. Without these early "$100 geniuses", sportsbooks like Pinnacle Sports, for example, could not offer $30,000 limits on EPL matches.

I can't emphasise strongly enough that if your average bet-size is $500 or lower, the best thing you can do to win more is bet into overnight lines. This is particularly important with the smaller soccer leagues or markets like total goals. If betting into early odds seems somewhat intimidating, try this experiment: For 4 weeks, watch the opening lines. When making bets, keep a record of whether you would have got a better price on the opening odds, or against the closing line. Nearly all punters will find that with the exception of important injury news or varying atmospheric condition*, the betting odds moves during the week give them a worse price than if they had bet it earlier.

For those already doing handicapping early and using a fair sportsbook selection, there are other ways to be a better line shopper while still keeping your day job.

If you are willing to spend just a bit more time bargain-hunting, the better time to do it is when the odds are changing more rapidly. E.g., say the line at a top sportsbook is moving against you, try place your bet at a recreational bookmaker that changes its lines more slowly. As an alternative, if you wish the direction of the odds change, wait for the market to even out, and take the best price. The key is to acknowledge when these movements happen. After the normal bouncing around of opening lines, there are two other factors that normally cause considerable moves: injury news and big bets before game time.

In the last hour before a match kicks off, there are often dramatic changes in the betting odds. This is often caused by large gambling syndicates, who wait until close to post time when the betting limits are highest at all bookmakers. If you are prepared to stare at a live odds screen for the hour before a round of matches kick off, you'll find a lot of line moves that are large enough to scalp. Waiting until this time to place your bets lets you either bet at the fast-moving sportsbook sites (like Pinnacle Sports Book, for example) or the slower moving recreational bookies, depending on which way the odds move.

Injury bets are a different way to make a bundle, but betters must be prompt on the trigger. When a star player is announced as in question or out of his next game, there will be an tremendous amount of wagering action. The premier sports books may either take the game offline, circle the game and set lower limits, or considerably change the odds when the news comes out. Beating the bookie to the punch gives an almost certain opportunity to scalp by betting the other side after the odds movements. Even if you miss the early surge, many smaller sportsbooks will leave their old odds up.

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